Fantasy Baseball Analysis: 1B

Fielder or Howard, flip a coin!

There’s mere 2.02 point difference separating the top two candidates in the upcoming 2008 Fantasy Baseball Season. The Brewer’s Prince Fielder has a slight edge over the Phillies’ Ryan Howard.

Please note, my metrics are only using the basic 5×5 rotisserie statistics.

The Rays’ Carlos Pena is a close second and actually has a better VORP than Howard (68.5 to 53.6), but the firstbaseman with the best VORP is clearly the Cardinals’ Albert Pujols at 72.1, but ranks 5th behind these three and Houston’s Lance Berkman who comes in as a distant 4th (but he also qualifies at RF). Berkman would be a good choice as a second first baseman if he drops down that far due to his RF qualification.  A sleeper pick for the later rounds could be the Red’s Joey Votto or James Loney with the Dodgers now that they will start 2008 with him at first.  Here’s the list of the plays that qualify at 1B in 2008 and their stats. 

# NAME TEAM Other POS AVG OBP R HR RBI SB VORP 5x5 Totals
1 Prince Fielder MIL   .288 .395 109 50 119 2 69.1 280.288
2 Ryan Howard PHI   .268 .392 94 47 136 1 53.6 278.268
3 Carlos Pena TBA   .282 .411 99 46 121 1 68.5 267.282
4 Lance Berkman HOU RF .278 .386 95 34 102 7 42.1 238.278
5 Albert Pujols SLN   .327 .429 99 32 103 2 72.1 236.327
6 Adrian Gonzalez SDN   .282 .347 101 30 100 0 38.4 231.282
7 Justin Morneau MIN   .271 .343 84 31 111 1 28.8 227.271
8 Carlos Guillen DET SS .296 .357 86 21 102 13 45 222.296
9 Victor Martinez CLE C .301 .374 78 25 114 0 55 217.301
10 Derrek Lee CHN   .317 .400 91 22 82 6 48.6 201.317
11 Todd Helton COL   .320 .434 86 17 91 0 51.9 194.32
12 Paul Konerko CHA   .259 .351 71 31 90 0 25.4 192.259
13 Kevin Youkilis BOS   .288 .390 85 16 83 4 31.1 188.288
14 Nick Swisher OAK CF/RF .262 .381 84 22 78 3 31.5 187.262
15 Carlos Delgado NYN   .258 .333 71 24 87 4 15.5 186.258
16 Adam LaRoche PIT   .272 .345 71 21 88 1 19.6 181.272
17 Aubrey Huff BAL DH .280 .337 68 15 72 1 15.8 156.28
18 Alex Gordon* KCA 3B .247 .314 60 15 60 14 3.1 149.247
19 Casey Kotchman ANA   .296 .372 64 11 68 2 26.2 145.296
20 Matt Stairs TOR LF .289 .368 58 21 64 2 29.5 145.289
21 Dmitri Young WAS   .320 .378 57 13 74 0 35.6 144.32
22 Ryan Garko CLE   .289 .359 62 21 61 0 27.8 144.289
23 Kevin Millar BAL DH .254 .365 63 17 63 1 14.4 144.254
24 Richie Sexson SEA   .205 .295 58 21 63 1 -7.1 143.205
25 Brad Wilkerson TEX LF .234 .319 54 20 62 4 6.2 140.234
26 Conor Jackson ARI   .284 .368 56 15 60 2 20.5 133.284
27 Dan Johnson OAK   .236 .349 53 18 62 0 8 133.236
28 Mike Jacobs FLO   .265 .317 57 17 54 1 10.5 129.265
29 James Loney* LAN   .331 .381 41 15 67 0 30.7 123.331
30 Marcus Thames DET LF .242 .278 37 18 54 2 4.1 111.242
31 Mark Teixeira TEX   .297 .397 48 13 49 0 26 110.297
32 Nomar Garciaparra LAN 3B .283 .328 39 7 59 3 0.8 108.283
33 Scott Hatteberg CIN   .310 .394 50 10 47 0 25.1 107.31
34 Ryan Klesko SFN   .260 .344 51 6 44 5 5.5 106.26
35 Lyle Overbay TOR   .240 .315 49 10 44 2 -3.6 105.24
36 Sean Casey DET   .296 .353 40 4 54 2 9.6 100.296
37 Mark Loretta HOU SS/2B/3B .287 .352 52 4 41 1 9.8 98.287
38 Ross Gload KCA   .288 .318 37 7 51 2 5.7 97.288
39 Mike Lamb HOU 3B .289 .366 45 11 40 0 16 96.289
40 Scott Thorman* ATL   .216 .258 37 11 36 1 -9.6 85.216
41 Rich Aurilia SFN 3B .252 .304 40 5 33 0 -4.7 78.252
42 Darin Erstad CHA CF .249 .311 33 4 32 7 -6.2 76.249
43 Ben Broussard SEA   .275 .330 27 7 29 2 4.5 65.275

  * Denotes Rookie status in 2007 

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply