Comments on: A Case for Sabermetrics http://baseballreflections.com/2009/03/28/a-case-for-sabermetrics/ A blog where old school baseball meets Sabermetrics while covering every MLB team, bringing you breaking MLB news, fantasy baseball insight, product reviews (equipment, books, movies, etc.), & interviews. Tue, 22 May 2012 14:44:00 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.2 By: Ron Stevens http://baseballreflections.com/2009/03/28/a-case-for-sabermetrics/comment-page-1/#comment-7134 Ron Stevens Wed, 20 May 2009 18:03:46 +0000 http://baseballreflections.com/?p=1083#comment-7134 Timing is everything.This article was written before the evidence for this years stats line for Ortiz was established; while injuries and their subsequent impedemant on performance exist,that alone doesn't produce the sabermetrics projections.You can evaluate every player with the same attributes as Ortiz,which will produce a objective annalysis, and subsequent career projections. Players are more likely to be hampered with injuries as they age.Ortiz's situation in this is just the common pattern. There always are outliers,both for player performance that produces well above or below what is projected.The exceptions proves the rule. Ortiz through May 20th 2009-obp:.317 slg:.293 no home runs in 133 at bats. Timing is everything.This article was written before the evidence for this years stats line for Ortiz was established; while injuries and their subsequent impedemant on performance exist,that alone doesn’t produce the sabermetrics projections.You can evaluate every player with the same attributes as Ortiz,which
will produce a objective annalysis, and subsequent career projections. Players are more likely to be hampered with injuries as they age.Ortiz’s situation in this is just the common pattern.
There always are outliers,both for player performance that produces well above or below what is projected.The exceptions
proves the rule.

Ortiz through May 20th 2009-obp:.317
slg:.293 no home runs in 133 at bats.

]]> By: Peter Schiller http://baseballreflections.com/2009/03/28/a-case-for-sabermetrics/comment-page-1/#comment-4844 Peter Schiller Sun, 29 Mar 2009 19:56:24 +0000 http://baseballreflections.com/?p=1083#comment-4844 Wow! That a mighty big compliment coming from such a Sabermetric mind as yourself. Thanks Mike! Wow! That a mighty big compliment coming from such a Sabermetric mind as yourself. Thanks Mike!

]]> By: fr, Buscador de Numeros Celulares http://baseballreflections.com/2009/03/28/a-case-for-sabermetrics/comment-page-1/#comment-4823 fr, Buscador de Numeros Celulares Sun, 29 Mar 2009 04:17:35 +0000 http://baseballreflections.com/?p=1083#comment-4823 [...] A Case for Sabermetrics | Baseball Reflections [...] [...] A Case for Sabermetrics | Baseball Reflections [...]

]]> By: Michael Ford http://baseballreflections.com/2009/03/28/a-case-for-sabermetrics/comment-page-1/#comment-4822 Michael Ford Sun, 29 Mar 2009 03:51:03 +0000 http://baseballreflections.com/?p=1083#comment-4822 Fantastic write-up, Pete. I certainly agree that Papi is going to bounce back, but to the degree is in the air, at least in my mind. One other thing to keep in mind is that last year he swung at 2% more pitches outside the strikezone and 2% less inside the strikezone. That's not enough to make a noticeable difference for anybody, but it is something to keep an eye on in my book. Even injuries aside, Ortiz had a ton of bad luck last year for sure. Two years in a row of luck that bad is very rare so I agree that a bounce back in BABIP will come as long as he maintains the 17-22 LD% he's given the Sox over his career. That oughta bring his AVG back to above average levels. Put me down for around .280/.380/.550 -- essentially a repeat of his 2007 season with the .358 BABIP regressed to his .310 career average. Fantastic write-up, Pete. I certainly agree that Papi is going to bounce back, but to the degree is in the air, at least in my mind. One other thing to keep in mind is that last year he swung at 2% more pitches outside the strikezone and 2% less inside the strikezone. That’s not enough to make a noticeable difference for anybody, but it is something to keep an eye on in my book.

Even injuries aside, Ortiz had a ton of bad luck last year for sure. Two years in a row of luck that bad is very rare so I agree that a bounce back in BABIP will come as long as he maintains the 17-22 LD% he’s given the Sox over his career. That oughta bring his AVG back to above average levels.

Put me down for around .280/.380/.550 — essentially a repeat of his 2007 season with the .358 BABIP regressed to his .310 career average.

]]> By: Dennis http://baseballreflections.com/2009/03/28/a-case-for-sabermetrics/comment-page-1/#comment-4818 Dennis Sun, 29 Mar 2009 01:44:32 +0000 http://baseballreflections.com/?p=1083#comment-4818 I am looking for a clean and ite magazine style theme for wordpress without too many function calls, any suggestions?. thanks in advance :) I am looking for a clean and ite magazine style theme for wordpress without too many function calls, any suggestions?. thanks in advance :)

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