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	<title>Baseball Reflections &#187; Rumors</title>
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		<title>Chasing the Aces and the Pennants</title>
		<link>http://baseballreflections.com/2009/06/12/chasing-the-aces-and-the-pennants/</link>
		<comments>http://baseballreflections.com/2009/06/12/chasing-the-aces-and-the-pennants/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Jun 2009 11:18:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Stan Whyte</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Image via Wikipedia It&#8217;s officially trade rumor season in the MLB and teams are now just beginning to assess their needs and see what is available on the market. This season marks a special one in the starting pitching department as we have four key names playing for underperforming teams looking to slash payroll and [...]]]></description>
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<dl class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 154px;">
<dt class="wp-caption-dt"><a href="http://commons.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Jake_Delivers.jpg"><img title="Jake Peavy delivers a pitch at Petco Park in S..." src="http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/9/98/Jake_Delivers.jpg/300px-Jake_Delivers.jpg" alt="Jake Peavy delivers a pitch at Petco Park in S..." width="144" height="187" /></a></dt>
<dd class="wp-caption-dd zemanta-img-attribution" style="font-size: 0.8em;">Image via <a href="http://commons.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Jake_Delivers.jpg">Wikipedia</a></dd>
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<p align="justify">It&#8217;s officially  trade rumor season in the <a class="zem_slink" title="Major League Baseball" rel="homepage" href="http://mlb.mlb.com/index.jsp">MLB</a> and teams are now just beginning to assess  their needs and see what is available on the market. This season marks  a special one in the starting pitching department as we have four key  names playing for underperforming teams looking to slash payroll and  stock their farm system with top young talent. As always, the question  must be asked if the team looking to acquire established big league  talent is ready to part with younger, untested talent. Here are four  teams, in addition to their payroll at the start of the season, who  just might be willing to take the plunge and get the ace to anchor their  staff through the remainder of the dog days. In addition, we&#8217;ll give  you the prospects that could be shipped off in return for these aces  and what they have done so far this season.</p>
<p align="justify"><strong><a href="http://baseballreflections.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/12/nymets62.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-704" style="margin: 5px;" title="nymets62" src="http://baseballreflections.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/12/nymets62.jpg" alt="nymets62" width="120" height="120" /></a>- <a class="zem_slink" title="New York Mets" rel="wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_Mets">New York  Mets</a> ($135,733,988/2</strong><sup><strong>nd</strong></sup><strong> highest in baseball) </strong></p>
<p align="justify">While the Mets have been streaking lately, their inability to avoid  the injury/illness bug has to have the front office worried and we might  have seen the last of Oliver Perez in the starting rotation for the  Metropolitans this season. The Mets have finished behind the Phillies  for the past two seasons and have not advanced out of the National League  since the Subway Series back in 2000, (Edgardo Alfonzo anyone?), and  the faithful in Queens are beginning to get a little restless.</p>
<p align="justify"><a class="zem_slink" title="Johan Santana" rel="wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Johan_Santana">Johan Santana</a> was a major addition to the club before the start of the 2008 regular  season but it came at the cost of some major talent. The decision to  not go after Derek Lowe was a questionable one and now it becomes increasingly  apparent that the Mets need another starter to make their rotation legitimate. <strong> Erik Bedard</strong> could be a low cost option for the Mets as they probably  do not want to add much more on to their existing payroll. To avoid  arbitration, the Mariners signed Bedard to an incentive-laden one-year  deal with a base salary of $7.75 mil.</p>
<p align="justify">Bedard has  posted solid numbers since recovering from his torn labrum last year.  As of June 3, he&#8217;s 4-2 with a 2.37 ERA and 61 Ks. Seems like he&#8217;s  playing for a contract. Just a thought there. Since the contract is  an expiring one, the Mets would probably have to only deal one major  player from their farm system and maybe a pitching prospect or two.  A thought that instantly comes to mind is Jonathan Niese since he is  one of the Mets&#8217; best pitching prospects and has already made a handful  of starts for the big league club between last season and this year.  In those starts, which is a total of five, Niese is 1-1 with a 6.57  ERA with 21 Ks and 10 BB in 24.2 IP. But what might get overlooked is  that he is just 22 and still needs to develop. At this point, he&#8217;s  due to only get better with major league experience and the Mariners  lack starting pitching depth. Toss in Fernando Martinez to play left  for the M&#8217;s in place of losing Adam Jones in the deal that brought  Bedard to Seattle and the Mets just might have themselves a deal.</p>
<p align="justify"><strong><a href="http://baseballreflections.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/chicagocubs03.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-609" style="margin: 5px;" title="chicagocubs03" src="http://baseballreflections.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/chicagocubs03.jpg" alt="chicagocubs03" width="120" height="120" /></a>-</strong> <strong> Chicago Cubs ($135,050,000/3</strong><sup><strong>rd</strong></sup><strong> highest) </strong></p>
<p align="justify">&#8220;Wasn&#8217;t  this starting rotation supposed to be one of the best in the NL already,&#8221;  you probably have asked yourself after seeing the lovable losers on  this list. Unfortunately, the Cubs failed in their much-publicized attempt  to snag <strong><a class="zem_slink" title="Jake Peavy" rel="wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jake_Peavy">Jake Peavy</a></strong> from the San Diego Padres and if not for Peavy&#8217;s  full no-trade clause, could have lost him to their AL neighbors on the  South Side.</p>
<p align="justify">As of June  2, the Cubs were in fourth place and four games back of the Milwaukee  Brewers in the suddenly competitive NL Central. Starting pitching has  been a glaring concern for the Cubbies this season as <a class="zem_slink" title="Rich Harden" rel="wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rich_Harden">Rich Harden</a> has  not made a start since May 17 and has been sidelined by an ailing back.  <a class="zem_slink" title="Carlos Zambrano" rel="wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carlos_Zambrano">Carlos Zambrano</a> starts at various points because of injury and is currently  serving a six-game suspension for his latest on-field tirade at Wrigley  Field back on May 27. Ryan Dempster has been a shell of his 2008 self  with an ERA of 4.48 in 11 starts this season.</p>
<p align="justify">So no, the  Cubs do not have one of the best starting five in the NL because of  injuries/suspensions and flat out inconsistency this season. The only  starter with reputable numbers has been Ted Lilly, going 6-4 with a  3.50 ERA and an even better WHIP of 1.09. Randy Wells has given the  rotation a short-term shot in the arm as well with a 1.69 ERA and a  WHIP of .97 in five starts. But with the inconsistency of Dempster and  Zambrano and Harden&#8217;s ailing back, the Wrigleyville outfit will need  to add another piece to the staff.</p>
<p align="justify">If fans and  management alike are tired of getting burned by both Peavy and the Padres  then maybe Roy &#8220;Doc&#8221; Halladay of the <a class="zem_slink" title="Toronto Blue Jays" rel="wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toronto_Blue_Jays">Toronto Blue Jays</a> could be  a nice addition to their staff. So far this season, Halladay has put  himself into position to be an early Cy Young award candidate with a  9-1 record to go along with his 82 Ks and a WHIP of just 1.04.</p>
<p align="justify">A few names  that could be shipped to north of the border would be Jay Jackson, who  is currently pitching for Double-A Tennessee of the Southern League.  In nine starts, he has a 3-3 record and an ERA of 3.35. Jackson works  because he could help replenish the Jays&#8217; minor league system since  Jesse Litsch, Shawn Marcum, and <a class="zem_slink" title="Dustin McGowan" rel="wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dustin_McGowan">Dustin McGowan</a>, all currently on the  disabled list, are now in the Jays rotation. Another name who could  be included would be Andrew Cashner, who played his college ball at  TCU, and is now playing for the Daytona Cubs of the Class A Advanced  Florida State League. In seven starts, Cashner has a 1.99 ERA and 20  Ks.</p>
<p align="justify">Halladay will  be owed $30 million over the final two years of his contract but as  he&#8217;s proving this season, he&#8217;s certainly worth the investment and  be a great addition to a pitching staff that is loaded when healthy  and hitting their stride.</p>
<p align="justify"><strong><a href="http://baseballreflections.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/chicagowhitesox91.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-607" style="margin: 5px;" title="chicagowhitesox91" src="http://baseballreflections.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/chicagowhitesox91.jpg" alt="chicagowhitesox91" width="85" height="120" /></a>- <a class="zem_slink" title="Chicago White Sox" rel="wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chicago_White_Sox">Chicago  White Sox</a> ($96,068,500/12</strong><sup><strong>th</strong></sup><strong> highest) </strong></p>
<p align="justify">Alright, so we get the point. Jake Peavy wants no part of the city of  Chicago. White Sox GM Kenny Williams will have to get over that sooner  much rather than later if he still wants to add an ace to his staff  to put pressure on the AL Central leading Detroit Tigers. Southpaws  <a class="zem_slink" title="Mark Buehrle" rel="wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mark_Buehrle">Mark Buehrle</a> and John Danks have won a combined 10 games for the Southsiders  but are looking for Gavin Floyd to continue making strides as he has  done over his past three starts. In those starts, he is 1-1 with a 1.95  ERA 24 Ks. Talk about a revival.</p>
<p align="justify">With a payroll  of just over $115 million, it is unlikely that the Tigers will make  any additions to their payroll and are more likely to hope and wish  for Dontrelle Willis to be the fourth reliable starter in that rotation  in addition to Edwin Jackson, the young Rick Porcello, and the dominant  Justin Verlander. If the White Sox want to avoid a one-game playoff  like they had to endure last October, then they will need a fourth starter  of their own to give them a solid staff.</p>
<p align="justify">&#8220;Calling  Mr. Roy Oswalt to the office, please. Mr. Oswalt, your presence is needed  please. Thank you.&#8221; It would be ridiculously unwise for Houston to  deal Oswalt within their division to the folks in Wrigleyville so just  ship him a few miles south. On the year, Oswalt&#8217;s ERA has been a bit  inflated at 4.28 and that is thanks to a high amount of hits allowed,  (74 in 69.1 IP), in addition to 12 home runs allowed. The Astros currently  sit in the cellar of the NL Central, seven games in back of the Brewers  but chances are slim that the &#8216;Stros will make any movement in the  division this year.</p>
<p align="justify">Oswalt&#8217;s  contract runs through 2011 with a club option for $16 million or a $2  million buyout in 2012. In order for the deal to be successful, the  White Sox know that they would again have to include both Aaron Poreda  and Clayton Richard. Poreda takes the bump currently for Double-A Birmingham  of the Southern League and has a 2.62 ERA in 10 starts this season.  His 62 Ks and .214 BAA are remarkable even for the Double-A level. If  allowed to progress he could make a difference in the Astros rotation  in the near future. Richard is already starting games for the White  Sox and through four starts is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA. It makes sense,  doesn&#8217;t it? Well, the only person to whom it matters if it makes sense  or not is Williams himself.</p>
<p align="justify"><strong><a href="http://baseballreflections.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/phillies.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-352" style="margin: 5px;" title="phillies" src="http://baseballreflections.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/phillies.jpg" alt="phillies" width="130" height="120" /></a>- Philadelphia  Phillies ($113,004,048/7</strong><sup><strong>th</strong></sup><strong> highest) </strong></p>
<p align="justify">Sometimes,  it pays to have a little pitching to help carry you to a championship  and the Phillies were beneficiaries of clutch starting pitching from  Brett Myers, Jamie Moyer, and most importantly &#8220;California Cool&#8221;  Cole Hamels. But this year is different as Moyer is beginning to show  his age with an ERA of 6.75 and 14 HR allowed in 10 starts. Myers will  go under the knife to repair a torn labrum in his hip and might not  return to the Phillies until late August. Hamels has been highly inconsistent  in his first nine starts and has instilled a worry in fans that there  might be something wrong with that fragile left elbow of his. He is  just 3-2 with an ERA of 5.21 and was torched for eight hits and six  earned runs in last start May 30 against the Washington Nationals.</p>
<p align="justify">All of this  has led to the Phillies having the worst starting staff ERA, near 6.0,  in the majors. Even still the Phillies are the current leaders of the  NL East thanks to a stingy bullpen and an offense that can score at-will  in hitters one through eight in the order. There are several young pitchers  who have stepped in such as southpaws J.A. Happ and Antonio Bastardo  to fill in while GM Ruben Amaro, Jr. figures out what do to fix his  starting rotation problem. The perfect ace to make his arrival in the  City of Philadelphia would be none other than Peavy himself.</p>
<p align="justify">That might  sound a little odd at first considering the Phillies have long been  known as a penny-pinching franchise. But since the opening of Citizens  Bank Park, the Phillies brass have been shedding their miserly habits  and are finally spending the money accumulated from great attendance  and benefitting from having one of the more popular fan bases in all  of baseball. That is why Peavy makes the most sense for the Phillies.  Without a doubt he is an expensive option, but also the best option  on the market. Peavy will want to go to a contender and the Phillies  certainly have to be in the contending conversation.</p>
<p align="justify">Peavy currently  sits at 5-6 with a 4.10 ERA this season but has one of the worst offensive  teams in the majors playing behind him in the Padres. They have the  worst batting average in the NL at .239 and have the second least amount  of runs scored in the league with a total of 208. It is clear that they  are in rebuilding mode and dealing Peavy will help get them on their  way with young talent to replace him. At 28, Peavy is an attractive  option based on his youth and skill alone. He will also not need a renegotiated  contract because he is currently signed through 2012 and a club option  worth $22 million for 2013.</p>
<p align="justify">The Phillies  would probably have to give up a combination of either shortstop Jason  Donald, slugging outfield prospect Michael Taylor, and projected future  ace Carlos Carrasco. Carrasco&#8217;s stock has dipped slightly since encountering  a stumbling block at Triple-A Lehigh Valley. In his ten International  League starts, Carrasco has surrendered 63 hits in only 55 IP and his  ERA is at 5.40. He dealt with a blister issue on the inside of his right  thumb and was battling a sore elbow as well. Besides the injuries, his  upside is huge and will benefit whoever he starts for when he makes  it to the majors. Many have projected Michael Taylor to become the next  Ryan Howard and if he blossoms into a major leaguer with the current  crop of Phillies the amount of damage that lineup can do is beyond anyone&#8217;s  imagination. In 168 ABs for Double-A Reading of the Eastern League,  Howard, er Taylor, is slugging at a .613 clip with 10 homers, 10 doubles  and a .339 average. It takes talent to get talent but this deal could  help both teams achieve their aspirations for 2009 and beyond.</p>
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		<title>This Week&#8217;s Hot Stove Red Sox Reflections</title>
		<link>http://baseballreflections.com/2008/11/18/this-weeks-hot-stove-red-sox-reflections/</link>
		<comments>http://baseballreflections.com/2008/11/18/this-weeks-hot-stove-red-sox-reflections/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Nov 2008 19:03:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Schiller</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hot Stove]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[catchers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[first base]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Free Agents]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[outfielders]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Red Sox]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baseballreflections.com/?p=613</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Rumors I have heard rumors that the Tigers are interested in SS Julio Lugo in exchange for either SP Dontrelle &#8220;D-Train&#8221; Willis or SP Nate Robertson. Theo, pull the trigger no matter which one of these guys they offer, but especially if it&#8217;s Robertson! Are the Red Sox serious about acquiring 1B Mark Teixeira? Personally, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2><a href="http://baseballreflections.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/red-sox-logo-250x250.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-359" title="red-sox-logo-250x250" src="http://baseballreflections.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/red-sox-logo-250x250.jpg" alt="" width="111" height="111" /></a><span style="color: #ff0000;">Rumors</span></h2>
<p>I have heard rumors that the <strong>Tigers </strong>are interested in SS <strong>Julio Lugo</strong> in exchange for either SP <strong>Dontrelle</strong> &#8220;<em>D-Train</em>&#8221; <strong>Willis </strong>or SP <strong>Nate Robertson</strong>. <strong>Theo</strong>, pull the trigger no matter which one of these guys they offer, but especially if it&#8217;s <strong>Robertson</strong>!</p>
<p>Are the <span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Red Sox</strong></span> serious about acquiring 1B <strong>Mark Teixeira</strong>? Personally, I don&#8217;t think so!</p>
<p>CF <strong>Coco Crisp</strong> has been mentioned in trades with the following teams: <strong>SD Padres</strong> and the <strong>Chicago</strong> <strong>Cubs</strong>. Just don&#8217;t trade him for <strong>Padres</strong> SS <strong>K. Greene</strong>. Sure he has power out of the SS position, but at the expense of BA and OBP.</p>
<p>They need a young catcher. The <strong>Rangers </strong>have a few in <strong>Max Ramirez</strong>, <strong>Jarrod Saltalamacchia</strong> and <strong>Taylor Teagarden</strong> (<strong>Teagarden </strong>is the preferred choice in my book) and the World Champion <strong>Phillies </strong>have a good one at AAA, too in <strong>Lou Marson</strong>.</p>
<h2><span style="color: #ff0000;">Free Agents</span></h2>
<p><strong>Top priority:</strong> If super agent <em>Scott Boras</em> doesn&#8217;t price him out of the <span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Red Sox</strong></span> allowable price range for a 36 year old catcher and one who&#8217;s bat is in decline, then resigning captain <strong>Jason Varitek</strong> for another few years must get done! He is invaluable to a pitching staff even though he has a below average arm. They will still need a young catcher for him to mentor along the next few years if he wants to extend his career beyond two years. This will allow him to take an additional day off during the week than the typical 1 on every 5 games and it will further advance the development of the future <span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Sox </strong></span>catcher.</p>
<p><strong>Starting Pitchers:</strong> Is there a possibility that <strong>Schilling </strong>is in a <span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Red Sox</strong></span> uniform in 2009? Probably not, but will he play a full season or start in May, ala <em>Clemens</em>? Does <strong>Derek Lowe</strong> come back to end his career in <strong>Boston</strong>? I for one, will be split over this one if he comes back. Will <strong>Boston </strong>be in the <strong>CC Sabathia</strong> or <strong>AJ Burnett</strong> sweepstakes? Why not?!</p>
<p><strong>Relief Pitchers:</strong> No one currently on the free agent market really excites me here.</p>
<p><strong>1B:</strong> a backup who can play on a regular basis due to the uncertainty of <strong>Mike Lowell</strong> (3B) after his to hip surgery, is a necessity. This may seem strange, but the best options currently on the free agent market would be former <span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Sox</strong></span> <strong>Kevin Millar</strong> and <strong>Tony Clark</strong>.</p>
<p><strong>SS:</strong> I would go after <strong>Rafael Furcal</strong>, but no one else. If they don&#8217;t get <strong>Furcal</strong>, I&#8217;d just stick with <strong>Lowrie</strong>.</p>
<p><strong>OF:</strong> with <strong>Kotsay </strong>(1B/OF) probably not returning (although he&#8217;d be the perfect option in <strong>Boston</strong>) in lieu of a starting job elsewhere, and the possibility of a trade involving <strong>Crisp </strong>(mentioned above), the <span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Sox </strong></span>will need a 4th outfielder. Im my opinion, if he can stay healthy, <strong>Rocco Baldelli</strong> would be a great fit in <strong>Boston</strong>. If not, why not bring back <strong>Trot Nixon</strong>. Or better yet, both <strong>Nixon </strong>and <strong>Baldelli</strong>?!</p>
<p><strong>UPDATE as of 11/19/08</strong></p>
<p>Boston has traded OF Coco Crisp to the Royals for RP Ramon Ramirez. For more details on this trade go to MLB.com to see how this <a href="http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20081119&amp;content_id=3684498&amp;vkey=hotstove2008&amp;fext=.jsp&amp;partnerId=rss_mlb" target="_blank">right-hander addresses Boston&#8217;s need for bullpen help</a>.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>As always, please share your thoughts with us in the comments&#8230;</em></p>
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