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	<title>Baseball Reflections &#187; NLDS</title>
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	<description>A blog where old school baseball meets Sabermetrics while covering every MLB team, bringing you breaking MLB news, fantasy baseball insight, product reviews (equipment, books, movies, etc.), &#38; interviews.</description>
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		<title>Analyzing Phillies in the Playoffs</title>
		<link>http://baseballreflections.com/2011/10/01/analyzing-phillies-in-the-playoffs/</link>
		<comments>http://baseballreflections.com/2011/10/01/analyzing-phillies-in-the-playoffs/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 01 Oct 2011 12:00:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Scott Butler</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Breaking News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LDS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NL East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Playoffs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reflections on the Phillies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[National League Championship Series]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[National League Division Series]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NLDS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Philadelphia Phillies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Phillie]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Win–loss record]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World Series]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yankees]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baseballreflections.com/?p=6606</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It’s playoff time, and if the past is any indication the Phillies are ready. Since 2007 (we can forget getting swept in 2007, right?), the Phillies are 25-13 in the postseason, have reached the NLCS in three straight seasons, and have only lost two series in three years. We can learn much more about the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://baseballreflections.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/nlds_2011_475x310_q85.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-6607" title="nlds_2011_475x310_q85" src="http://baseballreflections.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/nlds_2011_475x310_q85.jpg" alt="" width="475" height="213" /></a></p>
<div>It’s <a class="zem_slink" title="Playoffs" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Playoffs" rel="wikipedia">playoff</a> time, and if the past is any indication the <a class="zem_slink" title="Philadelphia Phillies" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Philadelphia_Phillies" rel="wikipedia">Phillies</a> are ready.</div>
<div>Since 2007 (we can forget getting swept in 2007, right?), the Phillies are 25-13 in the postseason, have reached the <a class="zem_slink" title="National League Championship Series" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_League_Championship_Series" rel="wikipedia">NLCS</a> in three straight seasons, and have only lost two series in three years. We can learn much more about the Phillies playoff character by digging a little deeper into their postseason record. With 38 games to choose from, we can get a good idea of how the Phillies handle just about any situation. Let’s take a closer look at what they’ve done in the playoffs:</div>
<div><iframe src="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AmOZ4YWXSI68dDBhVWZaaENzQ3VOanI1bC1pVEFjU0E&amp;single=true&amp;gid=0&amp;output=html&amp;widget=true" frameborder="0" width="500" height="300"></iframe></div>
<div>The Phillies have been solid in just about any playoff situation. We can see that the Phillies start out hot (7-1 in game 1’s), are great frontrunners (13-4 with the lead), and they know how to close it out (6-1 in clinchers). The Phillies also have a 15-5 record at home and an 11-2 record in the <a class="zem_slink" title="National League Division Series" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_League_Division_Series" rel="wikipedia">NLDS</a>. In a nutshell, the Phillies are excellent when they are in the driver’s seat and they know how to kick a guy when he’s down (hope you like cliches).</div>
<div>And the Phillies have given themselves the advantage a whole lot. They had not trailed in a series until the <a class="zem_slink" title="Yankees" href="http://www.sbnation.com/mlb/teams/NYY" rel="homepage">Yankees</a> in 2009, have only trailed at any point in 2 out of 8 series, and only played behind in a series in 8 of 38 games.</div>
<div>That said, the Phillies are no slouches when dealing with pressure situations. They have an even 5-5 record when tied or trailing in a series, have extended the two series in which they faced elimination, and they have a 6-1 record closing out series. Their only smudge is an 0-2 record in game 6’s.</div>
<div>Those are all very exciting numbers, but the only numbers that really matter now are 2 <a class="zem_slink" title="World Series" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Series" rel="wikipedia">World Championship</a>, 11 more <a class="zem_slink" title="Win–loss record" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Win%E2%80%93loss_record" rel="wikipedia">wins</a>, and 1 more parade.</div>
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		<title>Phillies, Dodgers and Red Sox All Take Game 1</title>
		<link>http://baseballreflections.com/2008/10/02/phillies-dodgers-and-red-sox-all-take-game-1/</link>
		<comments>http://baseballreflections.com/2008/10/02/phillies-dodgers-and-red-sox-all-take-game-1/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Oct 2008 18:27:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Peter Schiller</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LDS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pete's Picks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Playoffs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ALDS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dodgers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NLDS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Phillies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rays]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Red Sox]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[White Sox]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://baseballreflections.com/?p=330</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Phillies vs. Brewers Behind the arm of Ace Cole Hammels andd the bat of 2B Chase Utley, with a little help from a Brewers error, the Phillies took game one. In game two, will CC Sabathia be too tired to pitch deep into this game after pitching on short rest 4 starts in a row? [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Phillies </strong></span>vs. <span style="color: #3366ff;"><strong>Brewers</strong></span></p>
<p>Behind the arm of Ace <strong>Cole Hammels</strong> andd the bat of 2B <strong>Chase Utley</strong>, with a little help from a <span style="color: #3366ff;"><strong>Brewers </strong></span>error, the <span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Phillies </strong></span>took game one. In game two, will <strong>CC Sabathia</strong> be too tired to pitch deep into this game after pitching on short rest 4 starts in a row? If history is to repeat itself, then the <span style="color: #3366ff;"><strong>Brewers </strong></span>should have looked at last year&#8217;s ALCS where <strong>CC</strong> looked wornout against the <span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Red Sox</strong></span> in his two games. Only time will tell.</p>
<p><span style="color: #3366ff;"><strong>Dodgers </strong></span>vs. <span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Cubs</strong></span></p>
<p><strong>Dempster </strong>looked good until the 5th inning when he topped 100 pitches, the same inning where 1B <strong>James Loney</strong> launched a game winning grand slam to secure game one for the <span style="color: #3366ff;"><strong>Dodgers </strong></span>as <strong>Derek Lowe</strong> gets the win. <strong>Big Z</strong> is up against <strong>Billingsley </strong>in game two and my gut tells me that even though the <span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Cubs </strong></span>have lost 10 playoff series after losing game one, this isn&#8217;t your average <span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Cubs </strong></span>team. I think that <strong>Big Z</strong> comes up real big in game 2 to tie the series.</p>
<p><span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Red Sox</strong></span> vs. <span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Angels</strong></span></p>
<p>The <span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Sox</strong></span> continue to dominate the halos in the post season. Surviving cancer patient <strong>Jon Lester</strong> is looking like potential ace status as he closed the door after a mildly rough 1st inning where he allowed a run to score. He pitched 7 innings and recorded 7 K&#8217;s, then rookie <strong>Justin Masterson</strong> pitched the 8th and closer <strong>Jonathan Papelbon</strong> struck out 3 of the 4 he faced to get the save. Big night at the bat came from rookie <strong>Jacoby Ellsbury</strong> (3 hits, 2 SB and a great diving catch in the 8th), and <strong>Jason Bay</strong> (aquired in the <strong>Manny Ramirez</strong> trade at the deadline) who hit the game winner, a HR to LF. One other key note was <strong>Vlad Guerrero&#8217;s</strong> base running blunder in the 8th. <strong>Vlad </strong>was on 1B when a bloop single was hit just past the diving reach of 1B <strong>Kevin Youkilis</strong> who threw out the hoppling <strong>Vlad </strong>(DH) as he, in true <span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Angel </strong></span>aggressive base running style, tried to make it to 3B and was thrown out! Just about killing any chance of an <span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Angel </strong></span>rally. It&#8217;s hard to say if it was just a bad base running decision or a great play by <strong>Youkilis</strong>, but in reality, it was probably a little of both. <strong>Matsuzaka </strong>goes against <strong>E. Santana</strong> tomorrow night. Edge, <span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Red Sox</strong></span> as <strong>Matsuzaka </strong>has been lights out on the road this year and has walked fewer batters of late.</p>
<p><span style="color: #3366ff;"><strong>Rays</strong></span> vs. <span style="color: #808080;"><strong>White Sox</strong></span> Game 1 Tonight</p>
<p><strong>Shields </strong>pitches against <strong>Vasquez </strong>tonight in game one. Edge goes to the <span style="color: #3366ff;"><strong>Rays</strong></span> due to the pitching match up and the exhaustion factor the <span style="color: #808080;"><strong>Sox</strong></span> have to be facing with those two extra and stress filled games played against the <strong>Tigers </strong>and <span style="color: #3366ff;"><strong>Twins </strong></span>just to make it to the ALDS. Focus on the <span style="color: #3366ff;"><strong>Rays</strong></span> pitching to outduel the <span style="color: #808080;"><strong>White Sox</strong></span> and <strong>Griffey Jr.</strong> to shine in the first playoff series he&#8217;s been in for quite some time. Other players to watch in this series are the rookies <strong>Evan Longoria,</strong> the <span style="color: #3366ff;"><strong>Rays</strong></span> 3B and <strong>Alexei Ramirez</strong>, middle infielder for the <span style="color: #808080;"><strong>Sox</strong></span>whose grand slam against the <strong>Tigers </strong>got them to the duel against the <span style="color: #3366ff;"><strong>Twins</strong></span>. My pick in this series is the <span style="color: #3366ff;"><strong>Rays</strong></span>. The fairytale will continue&#8230;</p>
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