My top 5 Fantasy Baseball sell high options
- Updated: June 3, 2013
For this analysis we will be looking at the following metrics (although not every player will be judged against all of these): Batting Average (BA), Batting Average on Balls In Play (BABIP), StriKout percentage (K%), Base on Balls (walks) percentage (BB%), On Base Percentage (OBP), Slugging average of total bases (SLG), Weighted Runs Created Plus – quantifies a players total offensive value based on Runs Created based on the league average (wRC+), Isolated Power (ISO) and Wins Above Replacement (WAR).
All statistics are based upon stats counted by the end of play on Saturday.
5 Players to Sell High
# 5. Jhonny Peralta – SS – Tigers
Peralta is currently is hitting .328, 61 points above his career average; his BABIP is .403, 90 points higher than usual; his OBP is .376, 47 points higher than normal and his wRC+ is sitting at 132 which is 31 points higher than is career average. All these numbers should diminish based on Peralta’s historical data…the question is how much will it drop? After all, he is a SS and that is rare to find good production out of that position at times.
# 4. Marco Scutaro – 2B/SS – Giants
Scutaro is currently is hitting .335, 57 points above his career average; his BABIP is .354, 55 points higher than usual; his OBP is .387, 45 points higher than normal; his SLG is .437, 45 points above average; his K% is 6.1%, 4.5% higher than usual and his wRC+ is sting at 136 which is 39 points higher than is career average. All these numbers should diminish as well, but his value to someone else may be his qualification at 2 positions.
# 3. Yadier Molina – C – Cardinals
Molina is currently is hitting .351, 68 points above his career average; his BABIP is .374, 80 points higher than usual; his OBP is .390, 51 points higher than normal and his SLG is .469, 71 higher than usual. Like the other two players, these numbers should diminish, too.
# 2. Paul Goldscmidt – 1B – Diamondbacks
Goldscmidt is currently is hitting .332, 42 points above his career average; his BABIP is .384, 36 points higher than normal; his SLG is .603, 90 points higher than usual; his OBP is .411, 44 points higher than normal and his wRC+ is sitting at 173, 40 points higher than normal; his ISO is .271, 48 points higher than normal and his BB% is 12.1% which is 1.3% higher than it normally is. Given his young age, we don’t have as much data to go on, but so far, his numbers are telling us his numbers will drop (probably soon).
# 1. Chris Davis – 1B/OF/DH – Orioles
Davis I probably up for the biggest fall of them all. Chris Davis owners may want to consider selling high. Get all that you can for him while you still can! He is hitting way over his head in many categories…
He’s currently hitting .354, 95 points over his career average; his BABIP is sitting at .397, 45 points above the norm; his ISO is at a gaudy .385, 157 point higher than it should be; his OBP is .439, 113 points higher than usual; SLG is at an insane .738, which is 241 point out of whack; his K% is down 13% and his BB% is up 7.3%. These numbers are just not going to be sustainable and he is setting himself up to come crashing down to earth! But wait, there’s more…his wRC+ is at an ungodly 207, 94 points above normal and he hit HR # 20 last night (Sunday, June 2nd).
You can take your chances with him, but I see him as a risky investment, but one that might be able to reel in a big catch via trade. Strike while the fire’s hot!